✦ Aurora Forecast AI

Aurora Forecast Tonight in King Cove

Aurora season in King Cove runs from September to April.

Tonight's Forecast

Unlikely

?

How we calculate the aurora score

Unlikely

We combine geomagnetic activity (Kp), aurora oval probability (OVATION), cloud cover, darkness and moonlight, weighted for King Cove (region: mid_latitude).

With current Kp 2.3 (location needs ≥ 5) and 67% cloud cover, aurora viewing is unlikely at King Cove.

Unlikely 0-19

Score 0–19. Conditions strongly limit aurora visibility.

Low 20-44

Score 20–44. A faint aurora is possible only under perfect conditions.

Moderate 45-64

Score 45–64. Aurora may be visible to alert observers in dark, clear skies.

High 65-84

Score 65–84. A good chance of a visible aurora display.

Very High 85-100

Score 85–100. Excellent odds — plan to be outside tonight.

Aurora viewing is unlikely tonight.

Aurora Score 19 /100

Aurora visibility in King Cove is unlikely tonight. Current conditions do not strongly support visible Northern Lights.

With current Kp 2.3 (location needs ≥ 5) and 67% cloud cover, aurora viewing is unlikely at King Cove.

Max Kp

?

Max Kp

Below threshold

Kp is below the minimum needed at this latitude.

2.3

Below threshold

Cloud Cover

?

Cloud Cover

Partly cloudy

25–50% cloud — aurora may peek through gaps.

45%

Partly cloudy

Moon

?

Moon

Bright moon

Over 75% illuminated — only strong displays will be visible.

86%

Bright moon

OVATION

?

OVATION

Low

Less than 5% probability — aurora unlikely to reach this location.

1%

Low

🕐

Best Viewing Window

10:00 PM – 12:00 AM

Best balance of darkness, geomagnetic activity and local sky conditions.

🧭

Direction to Look

N E S W

North

Min Kp 5 Lat 55.1°

At this latitude, aurora is usually seen toward the northern horizon.

Recommendation

Check the forecast again later. Aurora conditions can change quickly during geomagnetic activity.

Hour-by-hour visibility

Estimated aurora visibility score for each hour of tonight at King Cove.

39

10:00 PM

39/100

10:00 PM: 39/100 — low

Max Kp

2.3

Moon

86%

OVATION

1%

39

11:00 PM

39/100

11:00 PM: 39/100 — low

Max Kp

1.7

Moon

86%

OVATION

1%

30

12:00 AM

30/100

12:00 AM: 30/100 — low

Max Kp

1.7

Cloud Cover

45%

Moon

86%

OVATION

1%

28

1:00 AM

28/100

1:00 AM: 28/100 — low

Max Kp

1.7

Cloud Cover

52%

Moon

86%

OVATION

1%

10:00 PM
11:00 PM
12:00 AM
1:00 AM

Best viewing window: 10:00 PM – 12:00 AM. Peak around 10:00 PM with a visibility score of 39/100.

Why this forecast?

The forecast is unlikely because one or more key conditions are not favorable for visible aurora tonight.

Score breakdown

How tonight's aurora score for King Cove breaks down into activity and visibility components.

Geomagnetic activity
?

Geomagnetic activity

0 / 40

Geomagnetic activity (Kp 2.3) contribution to the score.

0 / 40
Aurora oval probability
?

Aurora oval probability

3 / 20

OVATION aurora oval probability (1%) contribution.

3 / 20
Cloud cover
?

Cloud cover

7 / 20

Cloud cover (67%) contribution — clear skies score full points.

7 / 20
Darkness
?

Darkness

15 / 15

Sky darkness contribution — astronomical darkness scores full points.

15 / 15
Moonlight
?

Moonlight

1 / 5

Moon illumination (86%) contribution — new moon scores full points.

1 / 5
Aurora activity 5 / 100
Sky visibility 56 / 100
Final score 19 / 100
×
Geomagnetic activity 2.3 / 5
?

Geomagnetic activity (Kp index)

Below threshold

Kp measures how disturbed Earth's magnetic field is on a 0–9 scale. Higher Kp pushes the aurora oval toward the equator. King Cove needs Kp ≥ 5.

Below threshold

Kp is below the minimum needed at this latitude.

Near threshold

Kp is close to the minimum needed — a faint aurora may appear low on the horizon.

Enough for this location

Kp meets the threshold for visible aurora here.

Strong for this location

Kp is comfortably above the local threshold.

Geomagnetic storm

Storm-level Kp ≥ 5 — aurora can be seen far south of its usual zone.

Below threshold

Geomagnetic activity is below the usual visibility threshold for King Cove: expected Kp is 2.3, while this location usually needs around 5.

•
Cloud cover 45%
?

Cloud cover

Partly cloudy

Average cloud cover during the best viewing window. Clear skies are essential — even thin overcast hides the aurora.

Clear skies

Up to 25% cloud — excellent visibility.

Partly cloudy

25–50% cloud — aurora may peek through gaps.

Cloudy

50–85% cloud — most of the sky is blocked.

Overcast

Over 85% cloud — aurora effectively hidden.

Partly cloudy

Some clouds are expected, but aurora may still be visible through clear gaps.

✓
Darkness astronomical
?

Sky darkness

Astronomical darkness

Aurora is faint and needs a dark sky. Astronomical darkness (sun more than 18° below horizon) is ideal.

No dark window

Sun stays above 6° below horizon all night — no aurora-friendly darkness.

Civil twilight

Sun 6–12° below horizon — too bright for faint aurora.

Nautical twilight

Sun 12–18° below horizon — sky is dark but not fully astronomical.

Astronomical darkness

Sun more than 18° below the horizon — fully dark sky.

Astronomical darkness

The sky reaches full astronomical darkness tonight — the sun more than 18° below the horizon, dark enough for even a faint aurora.

×
Moonlight 86%
?

Moon illumination

Bright moon

A bright moon washes out faint aurora colours. New moon is ideal; full moon hides everything but the strongest displays.

Dark moon

Less than 25% illuminated — minimal interference.

Moderate moonlight

25–75% illuminated — faint aurora may be washed out.

Bright moon

Over 75% illuminated — only strong displays will be visible.

Bright moon

Moon is 86% illuminated — expect washed-out faint aurora.

×
Aurora oval probability 1%
?

Aurora oval probability (OVATION)

Low

NOAA's OVATION model estimates the chance of aurora visible overhead within a 250 km radius of you.

Low

Less than 5% probability — aurora unlikely to reach this location.

Moderate

5–20% probability — aurora possible.

Elevated

20–40% probability — aurora likely if skies are clear.

High

Over 40% probability — aurora very likely overhead.

Low

The aurora oval probability is low for this location tonight.

•
Aurora zone Fair zone
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Aurora zone

Fair zone

How favourable King Cove's latitude is for aurora viewing in general — independent of tonight's conditions.

Low zone

Lower latitude — aurora is rare and requires a major storm.

Fair zone

Mid-latitude — aurora visible only during moderate-to-strong storms.

Good zone

High-latitude region — aurora is visible on most active nights.

Excellent zone

Directly under the auroral oval — aurora is a regular occurrence.

Fair zone

King Cove is in an occasional aurora region, so stronger geomagnetic activity is usually needed.

How this forecast works

3-Day Aurora Forecast for King Cove

Tonight

Unlikely

Max Kp2.3
Cloud Cover67%
Moon86%

10:00 PM–12:00 AM

Tomorrow night

Low

Max Kp4.7
Cloud Cover97%
Moon77%

10:00 PM–12:00 AM

In 2 nights

Moderate

Max Kp4.7
Cloud Cover49%
Moon66%

11:00 PM–1:00 AM

Aurora Forecast AI Tracker

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Best Months to See the Northern Lights in King Cove

Best: September to April Peak: January, February, October and November
September October November December January February March April

The aurora season in King Cove usually runs from September to April.

Hours of darkness in King Cove

Dark hours per night
January February March April May June July August September October November December
11.810.08.24.80.00.00.03.37.09.311.312.3

No astronomical darkness: 8 May – 4 August

Other aurora viewing spots near King Cove

Frequently Asked Questions

Can you see the Northern Lights in King Cove tonight?

Only during a storm. King Cove needs Kp 5 or higher before the oval reaches it, and that happens a handful of nights in a year rather than most weeks. Even then it takes a clear sky, real darkness and a dim moon — cloud blocks aurora at any Kp.

What Kp index is needed to see the Northern Lights in King Cove?

King Cove lies at 52.8° geomagnetic latitude — roughly 13° south of the quiet oval's edge — so it takes a geomagnetic storm, Kp 5 or higher, before the ring reaches you, low on the northern horizon rather than overhead.

What are the best months to see the Northern Lights in King Cove?

September to April, with January, February, October, November the darkest stretch — though at this latitude the season is set by how often a storm reaches you, not by daylight.

Where is the best place to see the Northern Lights in King Cove?

You can watch from King Cove itself. With this few lights around, a garden or the nearest open field is enough, provided nothing blocks the northern horizon. What matters more here is the moon: a bright one washes out faint aurora, so nights near new moon are the ones to pick.