Aurora Forecast AI

Northern Lights in Finland

Finland is one of Europe’s best aurora destinations, especially in Finnish Lapland from September to April.

Tonight's Forecast

Unlikely

?

How we calculate the aurora score

Unlikely

We combine geomagnetic activity (Kp), aurora oval probability (OVATION), cloud cover, darkness and moonlight, weighted for Finland (region: auroral_oval).

With current Kp 1.7 (location needs ≥ 3) and 96% cloud cover, aurora viewing is unlikely at Finland.

Unlikely 0-19

Score 0–19. Conditions strongly limit aurora visibility.

Low 20-44

Score 20–44. A faint aurora is possible only under perfect conditions.

Moderate 45-64

Score 45–64. Aurora may be visible to alert observers in dark, clear skies.

High 65-84

Score 65–84. A good chance of a visible aurora display.

Very High 85-100

Score 85–100. Excellent odds — plan to be outside tonight.

Aurora viewing is unlikely tonight.

Aurora Score 5 /100

Aurora visibility in Finland is unlikely tonight. Current conditions do not strongly support visible Northern Lights.

With current Kp 1.7 (location needs ≥ 3) and 96% cloud cover, aurora viewing is unlikely at Finland.

Max Kp

?

Max Kp

Below threshold

Kp is below the minimum needed at this latitude.

1.7

Below threshold

Cloud Cover

?

Cloud Cover

Overcast

Over 85% cloud — aurora effectively hidden.

99%

Overcast

Moon

?

Moon

Bright moon

Over 75% illuminated — only strong displays will be visible.

80%

Bright moon

OVATION

?

OVATION

Low

Less than 5% probability — aurora unlikely to reach this location.

2%

Low

🕐

Best Viewing Window

12:00 AM – 2:00 AM

This is the best available window, but geomagnetic activity is expected to be low.

🧭

Direction to Look

N E S W

Overhead or north

Min Kp 3 Lat 64.0°

This location is close to the auroral oval, so aurora may appear overhead during stronger activity.

Recommendation

Check the forecast again later. Aurora conditions can change quickly during geomagnetic activity.

Hour-by-hour visibility

Estimated aurora visibility score for each hour of tonight at Finland.

4

11:00 PM

4/100

11:00 PM: 4/100 — unlikely

Max Kp

1.7

Cloud Cover

87%

Moon

80%

OVATION

2%

13

12:00 AM

13/100

12:00 AM: 13/100 — unlikely

Max Kp

1.7

Cloud Cover

98%

Moon

80%

OVATION

2%

12

1:00 AM

12/100

1:00 AM: 12/100 — unlikely

Max Kp

1.7

Cloud Cover

100%

Moon

80%

OVATION

2%

12

2:00 AM

12/100

2:00 AM: 12/100 — unlikely

Max Kp

1.7

Cloud Cover

100%

Moon

80%

OVATION

2%

4

3:00 AM

4/100

3:00 AM: 4/100 — unlikely

Max Kp

1.7

Cloud Cover

100%

Moon

80%

OVATION

2%

11:00 PM
12:00 AM
1:00 AM
2:00 AM
3:00 AM

Best viewing window: 12:00 AM – 2:00 AM. Peak around 12:00 AM with a visibility score of 13/100.

Why this forecast?

The forecast is unlikely because one or more key conditions are not favorable for visible aurora tonight.

Score breakdown

How tonight's aurora score for Finland breaks down into activity and visibility components.

Geomagnetic activity
?

Geomagnetic activity

2 / 30

Geomagnetic activity (Kp 1.7) contribution to the score.

2 / 30
Aurora oval probability
?

Aurora oval probability

4 / 30

OVATION aurora oval probability (2%) contribution.

4 / 30
Cloud cover
?

Cloud cover

1 / 20

Cloud cover (96%) contribution — clear skies score full points.

1 / 20
Darkness
?

Darkness

10 / 15

Sky darkness contribution — astronomical darkness scores full points.

10 / 15
Moonlight
?

Moonlight

1 / 5

Moon illumination (80%) contribution — new moon scores full points.

1 / 5
Aurora zone
?

Aurora zone

+10 pts

Latitude/zone bonus for Finland.

+10 pts
Aurora activity 20 / 100
Sky visibility 12 / 100
Final score 5 / 100
×
Geomagnetic activity 1.7 / 3
?

Geomagnetic activity (Kp index)

Below threshold

Kp measures how disturbed Earth's magnetic field is on a 0–9 scale. Higher Kp pushes the aurora oval toward the equator. Finland needs Kp ≥ 3.

Below threshold

Kp is below the minimum needed at this latitude.

Near threshold

Kp is close to the minimum needed — a faint aurora may appear low on the horizon.

Enough for this location

Kp meets the threshold for visible aurora here.

Strong for this location

Kp is comfortably above the local threshold.

Geomagnetic storm

Storm-level Kp ≥ 5 — aurora can be seen far south of its usual zone.

Below threshold

Geomagnetic activity is below the usual visibility threshold for Finland: expected Kp is 1.7, while this location usually needs around 3.

×
Cloud cover 99%
?

Cloud cover

Overcast

Average cloud cover during the best viewing window. Clear skies are essential — even thin overcast hides the aurora.

Clear skies

Up to 25% cloud — excellent visibility.

Partly cloudy

25–50% cloud — aurora may peek through gaps.

Cloudy

50–85% cloud — most of the sky is blocked.

Overcast

Over 85% cloud — aurora effectively hidden.

Overcast

Cloud cover is high tonight, which can block the view even if aurora activity is present.

Darkness nautical
?

Sky darkness

Nautical twilight

Aurora is faint and needs a dark sky. Astronomical darkness (sun more than 18° below horizon) is ideal.

No dark window

Sun stays above 6° below horizon all night — no aurora-friendly darkness.

Civil twilight

Sun 6–12° below horizon — too bright for faint aurora.

Nautical twilight

Sun 12–18° below horizon — sky is dark but not fully astronomical.

Astronomical darkness

Sun more than 18° below the horizon — fully dark sky.

Nautical twilight

×
Moonlight 80%
?

Moon illumination

Bright moon

A bright moon washes out faint aurora colours. New moon is ideal; full moon hides everything but the strongest displays.

Dark moon

Less than 25% illuminated — minimal interference.

Moderate moonlight

25–75% illuminated — faint aurora may be washed out.

Bright moon

Over 75% illuminated — only strong displays will be visible.

Bright moon

Moon is 80% illuminated — expect washed-out faint aurora.

×
Aurora oval probability 2%
?

Aurora oval probability (OVATION)

Low

NOAA's OVATION model estimates the chance of aurora visible overhead within a 250 km radius of you.

Low

Less than 5% probability — aurora unlikely to reach this location.

Moderate

5–20% probability — aurora possible.

Elevated

20–40% probability — aurora likely if skies are clear.

High

Over 40% probability — aurora very likely overhead.

Low

The aurora oval probability is low for this location tonight.

Aurora zone Excellent zone
?

Aurora zone

Excellent zone

How favourable Finland's latitude is for aurora viewing in general — independent of tonight's conditions.

Low zone

Lower latitude — aurora is rare and requires a major storm.

Fair zone

Mid-latitude — aurora visible only during moderate-to-strong storms.

Good zone

High-latitude region — aurora is visible on most active nights.

Excellent zone

Directly under the auroral oval — aurora is a regular occurrence.

Excellent zone

Finland is in a prime aurora zone, so aurora can be visible during regular activity when skies are dark and clear.

Data sources

  • · NOAA SWPC Kp forecast
  • · NOAA OVATION aurora model
  • · Open-Meteo cloud forecast

Aurora Forecast AI Tracker

Track the Northern Lights forecast in Finland

Use the app to follow the Northern Lights forecast across Finland with local aurora scores, cloud cover, Kp index and viewing windows. Save cities and regions in Finland, compare conditions, and get alerts when the aurora forecast becomes favorable.

  • Smart aurora alerts
  • Best viewing window
  • Hourly forecast
  • Saved locations
Download Aurora Forecast AI Tracker on the App StoreGet Aurora Forecast AI Tracker on Google Play

Best Months to See the Northern Lights in Finland

Best: September to April Peak: January, February, October and November
September October November December January February March April

The aurora season in Finland usually runs from September to April.

Finland is located in the auroral oval region, which means auroras can often become visible when the Kp index reaches around 3 or higher. The best chances usually come during the darkest months of the season, with clear skies and low light pollution.

Popular cities in Finland

Other countries

Frequently Asked Questions

What Kp index is needed to see the Northern Lights in Finland?
In Finland, a Kp index around 3+ usually gives a realistic chance of visible aurora, depending on darkness, clouds, and light pollution.
What are the best months to see the Northern Lights in Finland?
The best months to see the Northern Lights in Finland are typically September to April, when nights are darker and aurora viewing conditions are better.
Where is the best place to see the Northern Lights in Finland?
The best places to see the Northern Lights in Finland are dark areas away from city lights, with a clear view toward the northern horizon.