✦ Aurora Forecast AI

Aurora Forecast Tonight in Kokhanok

Aurora season in Kokhanok runs from September to April.

Tonight's Forecast

Moderate

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How we calculate the aurora score

Moderate

We combine geomagnetic activity (Kp), aurora oval probability (OVATION), cloud cover, darkness and moonlight, weighted for Kokhanok (region: high_latitude).

With current Kp 4.7 (location needs ≥ 4) and 58% cloud cover, aurora may be visible at Kokhanok from a dark spot, once your eyes have adjusted.

Unlikely 0-19

Score 0–19. Conditions strongly limit aurora visibility.

Low 20-44

Score 20–44. A faint aurora is possible only under perfect conditions.

Moderate 45-64

Score 45–64. Aurora may be visible to alert observers in dark, clear skies.

High 65-84

Score 65–84. A good chance of a visible aurora display.

Very High 85-100

Score 85–100. Excellent odds — plan to be outside tonight.

Moderate chance tonight. Aurora may be visible from a dark spot if the sky stays clear.

Aurora Score 57 /100

Aurora visibility in Kokhanok is moderate tonight. Northern Lights may be visible if geomagnetic activity holds and local skies remain clear.

With current Kp 4.7 (location needs ≥ 4) and 58% cloud cover, aurora may be visible at Kokhanok from a dark spot, once your eyes have adjusted.

Max Kp

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Max Kp

Enough for this location

Kp meets the threshold for visible aurora here.

4.7

Enough for this location

Cloud Cover

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Cloud Cover

Partly cloudy

25–50% cloud — aurora may peek through gaps.

49%

Partly cloudy

Moon

?

Moon

Bright moon

Over 75% illuminated — only strong displays will be visible.

77%

Bright moon

OVATION

?

OVATION

Moderate

5–20% probability — aurora possible.

7%

Moderate

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Best Viewing Window

10:00 PM – 12:00 AM

Best balance of darkness, geomagnetic activity and local sky conditions.

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Direction to Look

N E S W

Overhead or north

Min Kp 4 Lat 59.3°

This is a high-latitude location, so aurora may appear overhead or toward the northern sky.

Recommendation

Watch the forecast and be ready to go outside if Kp rises or cloud cover improves.

Hour-by-hour visibility

Estimated aurora visibility score for each hour of tonight at Kokhanok.

53

10:00 PM

53/100

10:00 PM: 53/100 — moderate

Max Kp

4.3

Cloud Cover

59%

Moon

77%

OVATION

7%

57

11:00 PM

57/100

11:00 PM: 57/100 — moderate

Max Kp

4.3

Cloud Cover

39%

Moon

77%

OVATION

7%

52

12:00 AM

52/100

12:00 AM: 52/100 — moderate

Max Kp

4.0

Cloud Cover

50%

Moon

77%

OVATION

7%

51

1:00 AM

51/100

1:00 AM: 51/100 — moderate

Max Kp

4.0

Cloud Cover

54%

Moon

77%

OVATION

7%

10:00 PM
11:00 PM
12:00 AM
1:00 AM

Best viewing window: 10:00 PM – 12:00 AM. Peak around 11:00 PM with a visibility score of 57/100.

Why this forecast?

There is a moderate chance of visible aurora tonight. Some conditions are favorable, but clouds, moonlight or geomagnetic activity may still limit visibility.

Score breakdown

How tonight's aurora score for Kokhanok breaks down into activity and visibility components.

Geomagnetic activity
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Geomagnetic activity

22 / 30

Geomagnetic activity (Kp 4.7) contribution to the score.

22 / 30
Aurora oval probability
?

Aurora oval probability

10 / 30

OVATION aurora oval probability (7%) contribution.

10 / 30
Cloud cover
?

Cloud cover

8 / 20

Cloud cover (58%) contribution — clear skies score full points.

8 / 20
Darkness
?

Darkness

15 / 15

Sky darkness contribution — astronomical darkness scores full points.

15 / 15
Moonlight
?

Moonlight

1 / 5

Moon illumination (77%) contribution — new moon scores full points.

1 / 5
Aurora zone
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Aurora zone

+5 pts

Latitude/zone bonus for Kokhanok.

+5 pts
Aurora activity 59 / 100
Sky visibility 61 / 100
Final score 57 / 100
✓
Geomagnetic activity 4.7 / 4
?

Geomagnetic activity (Kp index)

Enough for this location

Kp measures how disturbed Earth's magnetic field is on a 0–9 scale. Higher Kp pushes the aurora oval toward the equator. Kokhanok needs Kp ≥ 4.

Below threshold

Kp is below the minimum needed at this latitude.

Near threshold

Kp is close to the minimum needed — a faint aurora may appear low on the horizon.

Enough for this location

Kp meets the threshold for visible aurora here.

Strong for this location

Kp is comfortably above the local threshold.

Geomagnetic storm

Storm-level Kp ≥ 5 — aurora can be seen far south of its usual zone.

Enough for this location

Expected Kp 4.7 reaches the 4 that Kokhanok usually needs, so activity is not what limits the night — cloud, darkness and the moon decide the rest.

•
Cloud cover 49%
?

Cloud cover

Partly cloudy

Average cloud cover during the best viewing window. Clear skies are essential — even thin overcast hides the aurora.

Clear skies

Up to 25% cloud — excellent visibility.

Partly cloudy

25–50% cloud — aurora may peek through gaps.

Cloudy

50–85% cloud — most of the sky is blocked.

Overcast

Over 85% cloud — aurora effectively hidden.

Partly cloudy

Some clouds are expected, but aurora may still be visible through clear gaps.

✓
Darkness astronomical
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Sky darkness

Astronomical darkness

Aurora is faint and needs a dark sky. Astronomical darkness (sun more than 18° below horizon) is ideal.

No dark window

Sun stays above 6° below horizon all night — no aurora-friendly darkness.

Civil twilight

Sun 6–12° below horizon — too bright for faint aurora.

Nautical twilight

Sun 12–18° below horizon — sky is dark but not fully astronomical.

Astronomical darkness

Sun more than 18° below the horizon — fully dark sky.

Astronomical darkness

The sky reaches full astronomical darkness tonight — the sun more than 18° below the horizon, dark enough for even a faint aurora.

×
Moonlight 77%
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Moon illumination

Bright moon

A bright moon washes out faint aurora colours. New moon is ideal; full moon hides everything but the strongest displays.

Dark moon

Less than 25% illuminated — minimal interference.

Moderate moonlight

25–75% illuminated — faint aurora may be washed out.

Bright moon

Over 75% illuminated — only strong displays will be visible.

Bright moon

Moon is 77% illuminated — expect washed-out faint aurora.

•
Aurora oval probability 7%
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Aurora oval probability (OVATION)

Moderate

NOAA's OVATION model estimates the chance of aurora visible overhead within a 250 km radius of you.

Low

Less than 5% probability — aurora unlikely to reach this location.

Moderate

5–20% probability — aurora possible.

Elevated

20–40% probability — aurora likely if skies are clear.

High

Over 40% probability — aurora very likely overhead.

Moderate

The aurora oval probability is moderate for this location tonight, so activity may be close by if the sky is clear.

✓
Aurora zone Good zone
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Aurora zone

Good zone

How favourable Kokhanok's latitude is for aurora viewing in general — independent of tonight's conditions.

Low zone

Lower latitude — aurora is rare and requires a major storm.

Fair zone

Mid-latitude — aurora visible only during moderate-to-strong storms.

Good zone

High-latitude region — aurora is visible on most active nights.

Excellent zone

Directly under the auroral oval — aurora is a regular occurrence.

Good zone

Kokhanok is in a good aurora region, where aurora is possible during moderate geomagnetic activity.

Data sources

How this forecast works

3-Day Aurora Forecast for Kokhanok

Tonight

Moderate

Max Kp4.7
Cloud Cover58%
Moon77%

10:00 PM–12:00 AM

Tomorrow night

Moderate

Max Kp4.7
Cloud Cover99%
Moon66%

10:00 PM–12:00 AM

In 2 nights

Low

Cloud Cover93%

11:00 PM–1:00 AM

Aurora Forecast AI Tracker

Get aurora alerts for Kokhanok

Save Kokhanok in Aurora Forecast AI Tracker to follow the local Northern Lights forecast, hourly aurora visibility and best viewing window. Get notified when Kp activity, darkness and cloud cover create better chances to see the aurora.

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  • Hourly forecast
  • Saved locations
Download Aurora Forecast AI Tracker on the App StoreGet Aurora Forecast AI Tracker on Google Play

Best Months to See the Northern Lights in Kokhanok

Best: September to April Peak: January, February, November and December
September October November December January February March April

The aurora season in Kokhanok usually runs from September to April.

Hours of darkness in Kokhanok

Dark hours per night
January February March April May June July August September October November December
12.010.27.53.30.00.00.00.06.29.211.512.5

No astronomical darkness: 24 April – 19 August

Other aurora viewing spots near Kokhanok

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Lime Village

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Homer

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Igiugig

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Frequently Asked Questions

Can you see the Northern Lights in Kokhanok tonight?

Some nights. At 58.6° geomagnetic latitude Kokhanok sits outside the quiet oval, so it takes moderate activity — Kp 4 and above — to bring the ring within reach. Cloud and darkness decide the rest.

What Kp index is needed to see the Northern Lights in Kokhanok?

Kp 4. The oval widens about 2° toward the equator with each step up the scale, and Kokhanok is roughly 7° outside its quiet edge — which is why a single extra point changes what you see here.

What are the best months to see the Northern Lights in Kokhanok?

September to April, with November to February giving the most hours of real darkness. The March and September equinoxes carry a statistical tilt toward higher activity — a shift in the odds, not a promise for any one night.

Where is the best place to see the Northern Lights in Kokhanok?

The best places to see the Northern Lights in Kokhanok are dark areas away from city lights, with a clear view toward the northern horizon.