Aurora Forecast AI

Aurora Forecast Tonight in Klawock

Aurora season in Klawock runs from September to April.

Tonight's Forecast

Low

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How we calculate the aurora score

Low

We combine geomagnetic activity (Kp), aurora oval probability (OVATION), cloud cover, darkness and moonlight, weighted for Klawock (region: high_latitude).

Unlikely 0-19

Score 0–19. Conditions strongly limit aurora visibility.

Low 20-44

Score 20–44. A faint aurora is possible only under perfect conditions.

Moderate 45-64

Score 45–64. Aurora may be visible to alert observers in dark, clear skies.

High 65-84

Score 65–84. A good chance of a visible aurora display.

Very High 85-100

Score 85–100. Excellent odds — plan to be outside tonight.

Low chance tonight. Aurora may be possible only under very favorable local conditions.

Aurora Score 34 /100

Aurora visibility in Klawock is low tonight. A stronger geomagnetic storm or better local conditions would improve the chance of seeing the Northern Lights.

Max Kp

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Max Kp

Near threshold

Kp is close to the minimum needed — a faint aurora may appear low on the horizon.

1.7

Near threshold

Cloud Cover

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Cloud Cover

Partly cloudy

25–50% cloud — aurora may peek through gaps.

40%

Partly cloudy

Moon

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Moon

Moderate moonlight

25–75% illuminated — faint aurora may be washed out.

60%

Moderate moonlight

OVATION

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OVATION

Low

Less than 5% probability — aurora unlikely to reach this location.

1%

Low

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Best Viewing Window

10:00 PM – 12:00 AM

Best balance of darkness, geomagnetic activity and local sky conditions.

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Direction to Look

N E S W

Overhead or north

Min Kp 2.5 Lat 55.5°

This is a high-latitude location, so aurora may appear overhead or toward the northern sky.

Recommendation

Check the forecast again later. Aurora conditions can change quickly during geomagnetic activity.

Hour-by-hour visibility

Estimated aurora visibility score for each hour of tonight at Klawock.

48

10:00 PM

48/100

Max Kp

1.7

Cloud Cover

0%

Moon

60%

OVATION

1%

36

11:00 PM

36/100

Max Kp

1.7

Cloud Cover

61%

Moon

60%

OVATION

1%

33

12:00 AM

33/100

Max Kp

1.3

Cloud Cover

59%

Moon

60%

OVATION

1%

37

1:00 AM

37/100

Max Kp

1.3

Cloud Cover

38%

Moon

60%

OVATION

1%

10:00 PM
11:00 PM
12:00 AM
1:00 AM

Best viewing window: 10:00 PM – 12:00 AM. Peak around 10:00 PM with a visibility score of 48/100.

Why this forecast?

There is a low chance of visible aurora tonight. Some conditions may help, but overall the forecast does not strongly support visibility.

Score breakdown

How tonight's aurora score for Klawock breaks down into activity and visibility components.

Geomagnetic activity
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Geomagnetic activity

7 / 30

Geomagnetic activity (Kp 1.7) contribution to the score.

7 / 30
Aurora oval probability
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Aurora oval probability

4 / 30

OVATION aurora oval probability (1%) contribution.

4 / 30
Cloud cover
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Cloud cover

14 / 20

Cloud cover (29%) contribution — clear skies score full points.

14 / 20
Darkness
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Darkness

15 / 15

Sky darkness contribution — astronomical darkness scores full points.

15 / 15
Moonlight
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Moonlight

2 / 5

Moon illumination (60%) contribution — new moon scores full points.

2 / 5
Aurora zone
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Aurora zone

+5 pts

Latitude/zone bonus for Klawock.

+5 pts
Aurora activity 24 / 100
Sky visibility 62 / 100
Final score 34 / 100
Geomagnetic activity 1.7 / 2.5
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Geomagnetic activity (Kp index)

Near threshold

Kp measures how disturbed Earth's magnetic field is on a 0–9 scale. Higher Kp pushes the aurora oval toward the equator. Klawock needs Kp ≥ 2.5.

Below threshold

Kp is below the minimum needed at this latitude.

Near threshold

Kp is close to the minimum needed — a faint aurora may appear low on the horizon.

Enough for this location

Kp meets the threshold for visible aurora here.

Strong for this location

Kp is comfortably above the local threshold.

Geomagnetic storm

Storm-level Kp ≥ 5 — aurora can be seen far south of its usual zone.

Near threshold

Geomagnetic activity is only marginal for Klawock: expected Kp is 1.7, while this location usually needs around 2.5.

Cloud cover 40%
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Cloud cover

Partly cloudy

Average cloud cover during the best viewing window. Clear skies are essential — even thin overcast hides the aurora.

Clear skies

Up to 25% cloud — excellent visibility.

Partly cloudy

25–50% cloud — aurora may peek through gaps.

Cloudy

50–85% cloud — most of the sky is blocked.

Overcast

Over 85% cloud — aurora effectively hidden.

Partly cloudy

Some clouds are expected, but aurora may still be visible through clear gaps.

Darkness astronomical
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Sky darkness

Astronomical darkness

Aurora is faint and needs a dark sky. Astronomical darkness (sun more than 18° below horizon) is ideal.

No dark window

Sun stays above 6° below horizon all night — no aurora-friendly darkness.

Civil twilight

Sun 6–12° below horizon — too bright for faint aurora.

Nautical twilight

Sun 12–18° below horizon — sky is dark but not fully astronomical.

Astronomical darkness

Sun more than 18° below the horizon — fully dark sky.

Astronomical darkness

Moonlight 60%
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Moon illumination

Moderate moonlight

A bright moon washes out faint aurora colours. New moon is ideal; full moon hides everything but the strongest displays.

Dark moon

Less than 25% illuminated — minimal interference.

Moderate moonlight

25–75% illuminated — faint aurora may be washed out.

Bright moon

Over 75% illuminated — only strong displays will be visible.

Moderate moonlight

Moonlight is moderate tonight and may slightly reduce aurora visibility.

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Aurora oval probability 1%
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Aurora oval probability (OVATION)

Low

NOAA's OVATION model estimates the chance of aurora visible overhead within a 250 km radius of you.

Low

Less than 5% probability — aurora unlikely to reach this location.

Moderate

5–20% probability — aurora possible.

Elevated

20–40% probability — aurora likely if skies are clear.

High

Over 40% probability — aurora very likely overhead.

Low

The aurora oval probability is low for this location tonight.

Aurora zone Good zone
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Aurora zone

Good zone

How favourable Klawock's latitude is for aurora viewing in general — independent of tonight's conditions.

Low zone

Lower latitude — aurora is rare and requires a major storm.

Fair zone

Mid-latitude — aurora visible only during moderate-to-strong storms.

Good zone

High-latitude region — aurora is visible on most active nights.

Excellent zone

Directly under the auroral oval — aurora is a regular occurrence.

Good zone

Klawock is in a good aurora region, where aurora is possible during moderate geomagnetic activity.

Data sources

  • · NOAA SWPC Kp forecast
  • · NOAA OVATION aurora model
  • · Open-Meteo cloud forecast

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Best Months to See the Northern Lights in Klawock

Best: September to April Peak: January, February, November and December
September October November December January February March April

The aurora season in Klawock usually runs from September to April.

Klawock sits at 60.85° magnetic latitude, which means aurora typically becomes visible when the Kp index reaches 2.5+. As a high-latitude location, sightings are frequent during peak solar activity. The best time to visit for dark skies is generally between September and April.

Other aurora viewing spots near Klawock

Frequently Asked Questions

What Kp index is needed to see the Northern Lights in Klawock?
In Klawock, a Kp index around 2.5+ usually gives a realistic chance of visible aurora, depending on darkness, clouds, and light pollution.
What are the best months to see the Northern Lights in Klawock?
The best months to see the Northern Lights in Klawock are typically September to April, when nights are darker and aurora viewing conditions are better.
Where is the best place to see the Northern Lights in Klawock?
The best places to see the Northern Lights in Klawock are dark areas away from city lights, with a clear view toward the northern horizon.