✦ Aurora Forecast AI

Aurora Forecast Tonight in Wick

Aurora season in Wick runs from August to April.

Tonight's Forecast

Moderate

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How we calculate the aurora score

Moderate

We combine geomagnetic activity (Kp), aurora oval probability (OVATION), cloud cover, darkness and moonlight, weighted for Wick (region: mid_latitude).

With current Kp 5.0 (location needs ≥ 4) and 100% cloud cover, aurora may be visible at Wick from a dark spot, once your eyes have adjusted.

Unlikely 0-19

Score 0–19. Conditions strongly limit aurora visibility.

Low 20-44

Score 20–44. A faint aurora is possible only under perfect conditions.

Moderate 45-64

Score 45–64. Aurora may be visible to alert observers in dark, clear skies.

High 65-84

Score 65–84. A good chance of a visible aurora display.

Very High 85-100

Score 85–100. Excellent odds — plan to be outside tonight.

Moderate chance tonight. Aurora may be visible from a dark spot if the sky stays clear.

Aurora Score 49 /100

Aurora activity may be favorable near Wick, but cloud cover could make the Northern Lights difficult or impossible to see.

With current Kp 5.0 (location needs ≥ 4) and 100% cloud cover, aurora may be visible at Wick from a dark spot, once your eyes have adjusted.

Max Kp

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Max Kp

Enough for this location

Kp meets the threshold for visible aurora here.

5.0

Enough for this location

Cloud Cover

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Cloud Cover

Overcast

Over 85% cloud — aurora effectively hidden.

100%

Overcast

Moon

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Moon

Bright moon

Over 75% illuminated — only strong displays will be visible.

77%

Bright moon

OVATION

?

OVATION

Low

Less than 5% probability — aurora unlikely to reach this location.

0%

Low

🕐

Best Viewing Window

11:00 PM – 2:00 AM

Best balance of darkness, geomagnetic activity and local sky conditions.

🧭

Direction to Look

N E S W

North

Min Kp 4 Lat 58.4°

At this latitude, aurora is usually seen toward the northern horizon.

Recommendation

Cloud cover is the main problem tonight. Wait for breaks in the clouds before going out.

Hour-by-hour visibility

Estimated aurora visibility score for each hour of tonight at Wick.

32

10:00 PM

32/100

10:00 PM: 32/100 — low

Max Kp

3.7

Cloud Cover

100%

Moon

77%

OVATION

0%

49

11:00 PM

49/100

11:00 PM: 49/100 — moderate

Max Kp

5.0

Cloud Cover

100%

Moon

77%

OVATION

0%

49

12:00 AM

49/100

12:00 AM: 49/100 — moderate

Max Kp

5.0

Cloud Cover

100%

Moon

77%

OVATION

0%

49

1:00 AM

49/100

1:00 AM: 49/100 — moderate

Max Kp

5.0

Cloud Cover

100%

Moon

77%

OVATION

0%

45

2:00 AM

45/100

2:00 AM: 45/100 — moderate

Max Kp

4.7

Cloud Cover

100%

Moon

77%

OVATION

0%

45

3:00 AM

45/100

3:00 AM: 45/100 — moderate

Max Kp

4.7

Cloud Cover

100%

Moon

77%

OVATION

0%

10:00 PM
11:00 PM
12:00 AM
1:00 AM
2:00 AM
3:00 AM

Best viewing window: 11:00 PM – 2:00 AM. Peak around 11:00 PM with a visibility score of 49/100.

Why this forecast?

There is a moderate chance of visible aurora tonight. Some conditions are favorable, but clouds, moonlight or geomagnetic activity may still limit visibility.

Score breakdown

How tonight's aurora score for Wick breaks down into activity and visibility components.

Geomagnetic activity
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Geomagnetic activity

33 / 40

Geomagnetic activity (Kp 5.0) contribution to the score.

33 / 40
Aurora oval probability
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Aurora oval probability

0 / 20

OVATION aurora oval probability (0%) contribution.

0 / 20
Cloud cover
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Cloud cover

0 / 20

Cloud cover (100%) contribution — clear skies score full points.

0 / 20
Darkness
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Darkness

15 / 15

Sky darkness contribution — astronomical darkness scores full points.

15 / 15
Moonlight
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Moonlight

1 / 5

Moon illumination (77%) contribution — new moon scores full points.

1 / 5
Aurora activity 56 / 100
Sky visibility 40 / 100
Final score 49 / 100
✓
Geomagnetic activity 5.0 / 4
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Geomagnetic activity (Kp index)

Enough for this location

Kp measures how disturbed Earth's magnetic field is on a 0–9 scale. Higher Kp pushes the aurora oval toward the equator. Wick needs Kp ≥ 4.

Below threshold

Kp is below the minimum needed at this latitude.

Near threshold

Kp is close to the minimum needed — a faint aurora may appear low on the horizon.

Enough for this location

Kp meets the threshold for visible aurora here.

Strong for this location

Kp is comfortably above the local threshold.

Geomagnetic storm

Storm-level Kp ≥ 5 — aurora can be seen far south of its usual zone.

Enough for this location

Expected Kp 5.0 reaches the 4 that Wick usually needs, so activity is not what limits the night — cloud, darkness and the moon decide the rest.

×
Cloud cover 100%
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Cloud cover

Overcast

Average cloud cover during the best viewing window. Clear skies are essential — even thin overcast hides the aurora.

Clear skies

Up to 25% cloud — excellent visibility.

Partly cloudy

25–50% cloud — aurora may peek through gaps.

Cloudy

50–85% cloud — most of the sky is blocked.

Overcast

Over 85% cloud — aurora effectively hidden.

Overcast

Cloud cover is high tonight, which can block the view even if aurora activity is present.

✓
Darkness astronomical
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Sky darkness

Astronomical darkness

Aurora is faint and needs a dark sky. Astronomical darkness (sun more than 18° below horizon) is ideal.

No dark window

Sun stays above 6° below horizon all night — no aurora-friendly darkness.

Civil twilight

Sun 6–12° below horizon — too bright for faint aurora.

Nautical twilight

Sun 12–18° below horizon — sky is dark but not fully astronomical.

Astronomical darkness

Sun more than 18° below the horizon — fully dark sky.

Astronomical darkness

The sky reaches full astronomical darkness tonight — the sun more than 18° below the horizon, dark enough for even a faint aurora.

×
Moonlight 77%
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Moon illumination

Bright moon

A bright moon washes out faint aurora colours. New moon is ideal; full moon hides everything but the strongest displays.

Dark moon

Less than 25% illuminated — minimal interference.

Moderate moonlight

25–75% illuminated — faint aurora may be washed out.

Bright moon

Over 75% illuminated — only strong displays will be visible.

Bright moon

Moon is 77% illuminated — expect washed-out faint aurora.

×
Aurora oval probability 0%
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Aurora oval probability (OVATION)

Low

NOAA's OVATION model estimates the chance of aurora visible overhead within a 250 km radius of you.

Low

Less than 5% probability — aurora unlikely to reach this location.

Moderate

5–20% probability — aurora possible.

Elevated

20–40% probability — aurora likely if skies are clear.

High

Over 40% probability — aurora very likely overhead.

Low

The aurora oval probability is low for this location tonight.

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Aurora zone Fair zone
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Aurora zone

Fair zone

How favourable Wick's latitude is for aurora viewing in general — independent of tonight's conditions.

Low zone

Lower latitude — aurora is rare and requires a major storm.

Fair zone

Mid-latitude — aurora visible only during moderate-to-strong storms.

Good zone

High-latitude region — aurora is visible on most active nights.

Excellent zone

Directly under the auroral oval — aurora is a regular occurrence.

Fair zone

Wick is in an occasional aurora region, so stronger geomagnetic activity is usually needed.

How this forecast works

3-Day Aurora Forecast for Wick

Tonight

Moderate

Max Kp5.0
Cloud Cover100%
Moon77%

11:00 PM–2:00 AM

Tomorrow night

Moderate

Max Kp4.7
Cloud Cover32%
Moon66%

3:00 AM–5:00 AM

In 2 nights

Low

Max Kp3.7
Cloud Cover54%

10:00 PM–12:00 AM

Aurora Forecast AI Tracker

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Best Months to See the Northern Lights in Wick

Best: August to April Peak: January, February, March, October, November and December
August September October November December January February March April

The aurora season in Wick usually runs from August to April.

Hours of darkness in Wick

Dark hours per night
January February March April May June July August September October November December
12.010.27.73.70.00.00.00.06.39.311.312.5

No astronomical darkness: 27 April – 16 August

Other aurora viewing spots near Wick

Frequently Asked Questions

Can you see the Northern Lights in Wick tonight?

Only during a storm. Wick needs Kp 4 or higher before the oval reaches it, and that happens a handful of nights in a year rather than most weeks. Even then it takes a clear sky, real darkness and a dim moon — cloud blocks aurora at any Kp.

What Kp index is needed to see the Northern Lights in Wick?

Wick lies at 56.0° geomagnetic latitude — roughly 10° south of the quiet oval's edge — so it takes a geomagnetic storm, Kp 4 or higher, before the ring reaches you, low on the northern horizon rather than overhead.

What are the best months to see the Northern Lights in Wick?

August to April, with October to March the darkest stretch — though at this latitude the season is set by how often a storm reaches you, not by daylight.

Where is the best place to see the Northern Lights in Wick?

You can watch from Wick itself. With this few lights around, a garden or the nearest open field is enough, provided nothing blocks the northern horizon. What matters more here is the moon: a bright one washes out faint aurora, so nights near new moon are the ones to pick.