Aurora Forecast Tonight in Santa Cruz de Tenerife
Aurora season in Santa Cruz de Tenerife runs from November to February.
Tonight's Forecast
Unlikely
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How we calculate the aurora score
UnlikelyWe combine geomagnetic activity (Kp), aurora oval probability (OVATION), cloud cover, darkness and moonlight, weighted for Santa Cruz de Tenerife (region: rare).
With current Kp 5.0 (location needs ≥ 9) and 77% cloud cover, aurora viewing is unlikely at Santa Cruz de Tenerife.
Score 0–19. Conditions strongly limit aurora visibility.
Score 20–44. A faint aurora is possible only under perfect conditions.
Score 45–64. Aurora may be visible to alert observers in dark, clear skies.
Score 65–84. A good chance of a visible aurora display.
Score 85–100. Excellent odds — plan to be outside tonight.
Aurora viewing is unlikely tonight.
Aurora visibility in Santa Cruz de Tenerife is unlikely tonight. Current conditions do not strongly support visible Northern Lights.
With current Kp 5.0 (location needs ≥ 9) and 77% cloud cover, aurora viewing is unlikely at Santa Cruz de Tenerife.
Max Kp
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Max Kp
Below thresholdKp is below the minimum needed at this latitude.
5.0
Below threshold
Cloud Cover
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Cloud Cover
Cloudy50–85% cloud — most of the sky is blocked.
66%
Cloudy
Moon
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Moon
Bright moonOver 75% illuminated — only strong displays will be visible.
77%
Bright moon
OVATION
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OVATION
LowLess than 5% probability — aurora unlikely to reach this location.
0%
Low
Best Viewing Window
1:00 AM – 3:00 AM
This is the best available window, but geomagnetic activity is expected to be low.
Direction to Look
North
Aurora is rare at this latitude and usually requires a strong geomagnetic storm. Look toward the northern horizon.
Recommendation
Check the forecast again later. Aurora conditions can change quickly during geomagnetic activity.
Hour-by-hour visibility
Estimated aurora visibility score for each hour of tonight at Santa Cruz de Tenerife.
12:00 AM
21/10012:00 AM: 21/100 — low
Max Kp
5.0
Cloud Cover
77%
Moon
77%
OVATION
0%
23
1:00 AM
23/1001:00 AM: 23/100 — low
Max Kp
5.0
Cloud Cover
66%
Moon
77%
OVATION
0%
24
2:00 AM
24/1002:00 AM: 24/100 — low
Max Kp
4.7
Cloud Cover
59%
Moon
77%
OVATION
0%
3:00 AM
22/1003:00 AM: 22/100 — low
Max Kp
4.7
Cloud Cover
73%
Moon
77%
OVATION
0%
4:00 AM
21/1004:00 AM: 21/100 — low
Max Kp
4.7
Cloud Cover
74%
Moon
77%
OVATION
0%
Best viewing window: 1:00 AM – 3:00 AM. Peak around 2:00 AM with a visibility score of 24/100.
Why this forecast?
The forecast is unlikely because one or more key conditions are not favorable for visible aurora tonight.
Score breakdown
How tonight's aurora score for Santa Cruz de Tenerife breaks down into activity and visibility components.
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Geomagnetic activity
0 / 45Geomagnetic activity (Kp 5.0) contribution to the score.
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Aurora oval probability
0 / 15OVATION aurora oval probability (0%) contribution.
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Cloud cover
5 / 20Cloud cover (77%) contribution — clear skies score full points.
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Darkness
15 / 15Sky darkness contribution — astronomical darkness scores full points.
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Moonlight
1 / 5Moon illumination (77%) contribution — new moon scores full points.
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Aurora zone
-5 ptsLatitude/zone bonus for Santa Cruz de Tenerife.
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Geomagnetic activity (Kp index)
Below thresholdKp measures how disturbed Earth's magnetic field is on a 0–9 scale. Higher Kp pushes the aurora oval toward the equator. Santa Cruz de Tenerife needs Kp ≥ 9.
Kp is below the minimum needed at this latitude.
Kp is close to the minimum needed — a faint aurora may appear low on the horizon.
Kp meets the threshold for visible aurora here.
Kp is comfortably above the local threshold.
Storm-level Kp ≥ 5 — aurora can be seen far south of its usual zone.
Below threshold
Geomagnetic activity is below the usual visibility threshold for Santa Cruz de Tenerife: expected Kp is 5.0, while this location usually needs around 9.
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Cloud cover
CloudyAverage cloud cover during the best viewing window. Clear skies are essential — even thin overcast hides the aurora.
Up to 25% cloud — excellent visibility.
25–50% cloud — aurora may peek through gaps.
50–85% cloud — most of the sky is blocked.
Over 85% cloud — aurora effectively hidden.
Cloudy
Cloud cover is high tonight, which can block the view even if aurora activity is present.
?
Sky darkness
Astronomical darknessAurora is faint and needs a dark sky. Astronomical darkness (sun more than 18° below horizon) is ideal.
Sun stays above 6° below horizon all night — no aurora-friendly darkness.
Sun 6–12° below horizon — too bright for faint aurora.
Sun 12–18° below horizon — sky is dark but not fully astronomical.
Sun more than 18° below the horizon — fully dark sky.
Astronomical darkness
The sky reaches full astronomical darkness tonight — the sun more than 18° below the horizon, dark enough for even a faint aurora.
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Moon illumination
Bright moonA bright moon washes out faint aurora colours. New moon is ideal; full moon hides everything but the strongest displays.
Less than 25% illuminated — minimal interference.
25–75% illuminated — faint aurora may be washed out.
Over 75% illuminated — only strong displays will be visible.
Bright moon
Moon is 77% illuminated — expect washed-out faint aurora.
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Aurora oval probability (OVATION)
LowNOAA's OVATION model estimates the chance of aurora visible overhead within a 250 km radius of you.
Less than 5% probability — aurora unlikely to reach this location.
5–20% probability — aurora possible.
20–40% probability — aurora likely if skies are clear.
Over 40% probability — aurora very likely overhead.
Low
The aurora oval probability is low for this location tonight.
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Aurora zone
Low zoneHow favourable Santa Cruz de Tenerife's latitude is for aurora viewing in general — independent of tonight's conditions.
Lower latitude — aurora is rare and requires a major storm.
Mid-latitude — aurora visible only during moderate-to-strong storms.
High-latitude region — aurora is visible on most active nights.
Directly under the auroral oval — aurora is a regular occurrence.
Low zone
Santa Cruz de Tenerife is outside the main aurora zone, so visible aurora usually requires a strong geomagnetic storm.
3-Day Aurora Forecast for Santa Cruz de Tenerife
Tonight
Unlikely
1:00 AM–3:00 AM
Tomorrow night
Unlikely
2:00 AM–4:00 AM
In 2 nights
Unlikely
10:00 PM–2:00 AM
Aurora Forecast AI Tracker
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Save Santa Cruz de Tenerife in Aurora Forecast AI Tracker to follow the local Northern Lights forecast, hourly aurora visibility and best viewing window. Get notified when Kp activity, darkness and cloud cover create better chances to see the aurora.
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Best Months to See the Northern Lights in Santa Cruz de Tenerife
The aurora season in Santa Cruz de Tenerife usually runs from November to February.
Hours of darkness in Santa Cruz de Tenerife
| January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.7 | 10.2 | 9.3 | 8.3 | 7.5 | 7.0 | 7.2 | 8.2 | 9.2 | 9.8 | 10.5 | 10.8 |
Other aurora viewing spots near Santa Cruz de Tenerife
Frequently Asked Questions
Can you see the Northern Lights in Santa Cruz de Tenerife tonight?
Almost never. Storms big enough to reach Santa Cruz de Tenerife are the rarest on NOAA's scale. The realistic answer is to set an alert rather than to watch the forecast, and to expect a low red glow rather than the moving curtains of the north.
What Kp index is needed to see the Northern Lights in Santa Cruz de Tenerife?
Aurora is not something Santa Cruz de Tenerife sees in a normal year. At 12.7° geomagnetic latitude it takes one of the strongest storms on the scale, Kp 9, and even then it shows as a low red glow rather than the moving curtains of the north. Storms at the top of the scale are the rarest there are.
What are the best months to see the Northern Lights in Santa Cruz de Tenerife?
The best months to see the Northern Lights in Santa Cruz de Tenerife are typically November to February, when nights are darker and aurora viewing conditions are better.
Where is the best place to see the Northern Lights in Santa Cruz de Tenerife?
Santa Cruz de Tenerife is large enough that its own sky-glow is the main obstacle, so plan on leaving it. Head out away from the lit side until the glow is behind you, and find an open view toward the north — a lake shore, a ridge, anywhere the horizon is not built up. Let your eyes adjust for 20–30 minutes once you are there, and keep the phone screen off.