Aurora Forecast Tonight in Schleswig-Holstein
Aurora season in Schleswig-Holstein runs from September to April.
Tonight's Forecast
Unlikely
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How we calculate the aurora score
UnlikelyWe combine geomagnetic activity (Kp), aurora oval probability (OVATION), cloud cover, darkness and moonlight, weighted for Schleswig-Holstein (region: high_latitude).
With current Kp 1.7 (location needs ≥ 5.5) and 100% cloud cover, aurora viewing is unlikely at Schleswig-Holstein.
Score 0–19. Conditions strongly limit aurora visibility.
Score 20–44. A faint aurora is possible only under perfect conditions.
Score 45–64. Aurora may be visible to alert observers in dark, clear skies.
Score 65–84. A good chance of a visible aurora display.
Score 85–100. Excellent odds — plan to be outside tonight.
Aurora viewing is unlikely tonight.
Aurora visibility in Schleswig-Holstein is unlikely tonight. Current conditions do not strongly support visible Northern Lights.
With current Kp 1.7 (location needs ≥ 5.5) and 100% cloud cover, aurora viewing is unlikely at Schleswig-Holstein.
Max Kp
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Max Kp
Below thresholdKp is below the minimum needed at this latitude.
1.7
Below threshold
Cloud Cover
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Cloud Cover
OvercastOver 85% cloud — aurora effectively hidden.
100%
Overcast
Moon
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Moon
Moderate moonlight25–75% illuminated — faint aurora may be washed out.
60%
Moderate moonlight
OVATION
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OVATION
LowLess than 5% probability — aurora unlikely to reach this location.
0%
Low
Best Viewing Window
10:00 PM – 2:00 AM
This is the best available window, but geomagnetic activity is expected to be low.
Direction to Look
Overhead or north
This is a high-latitude location, so aurora may appear overhead or toward the northern sky.
Recommendation
Check the forecast again later. Aurora conditions can change quickly during geomagnetic activity.
Hour-by-hour visibility
Estimated aurora visibility score for each hour of tonight at Schleswig-Holstein.
17
10:00 PM
17/10010:00 PM: 17/100 — unlikely
Max Kp
1.3
Cloud Cover
100%
Moon
60%
OVATION
0%
17
11:00 PM
17/10011:00 PM: 17/100 — unlikely
Max Kp
1.3
Cloud Cover
100%
Moon
60%
OVATION
0%
17
12:00 AM
17/10012:00 AM: 17/100 — unlikely
Max Kp
1.3
Cloud Cover
100%
Moon
60%
OVATION
0%
17
1:00 AM
17/1001:00 AM: 17/100 — unlikely
Max Kp
1.3
Cloud Cover
100%
Moon
60%
OVATION
0%
2:00 AM
17/1002:00 AM: 17/100 — unlikely
Max Kp
1.3
Cloud Cover
100%
Moon
60%
OVATION
0%
3:00 AM
17/1003:00 AM: 17/100 — unlikely
Max Kp
1.3
Cloud Cover
100%
Moon
60%
OVATION
0%
Best viewing window: 10:00 PM – 2:00 AM. Peak around 10:00 PM with a visibility score of 17/100.
Why this forecast?
The forecast is unlikely because one or more key conditions are not favorable for visible aurora tonight.
Score breakdown
How tonight's aurora score for Schleswig-Holstein breaks down into activity and visibility components.
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Geomagnetic activity
0 / 30Geomagnetic activity (Kp 1.7) contribution to the score.
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Aurora oval probability
0 / 30OVATION aurora oval probability (0%) contribution.
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Cloud cover
0 / 20Cloud cover (100%) contribution — clear skies score full points.
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Darkness
15 / 15Sky darkness contribution — astronomical darkness scores full points.
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Moonlight
2 / 5Moon illumination (60%) contribution — new moon scores full points.
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Aurora zone
+5 ptsLatitude/zone bonus for Schleswig-Holstein.
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Geomagnetic activity (Kp index)
Below thresholdKp measures how disturbed Earth's magnetic field is on a 0–9 scale. Higher Kp pushes the aurora oval toward the equator. Schleswig-Holstein needs Kp ≥ 5.5.
Kp is below the minimum needed at this latitude.
Kp is close to the minimum needed — a faint aurora may appear low on the horizon.
Kp meets the threshold for visible aurora here.
Kp is comfortably above the local threshold.
Storm-level Kp ≥ 5 — aurora can be seen far south of its usual zone.
Below threshold
Geomagnetic activity is below the usual visibility threshold for Schleswig-Holstein: expected Kp is 1.7, while this location usually needs around 5.5.
?
Cloud cover
OvercastAverage cloud cover during the best viewing window. Clear skies are essential — even thin overcast hides the aurora.
Up to 25% cloud — excellent visibility.
25–50% cloud — aurora may peek through gaps.
50–85% cloud — most of the sky is blocked.
Over 85% cloud — aurora effectively hidden.
Overcast
Cloud cover is high tonight, which can block the view even if aurora activity is present.
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Sky darkness
Astronomical darknessAurora is faint and needs a dark sky. Astronomical darkness (sun more than 18° below horizon) is ideal.
Sun stays above 6° below horizon all night — no aurora-friendly darkness.
Sun 6–12° below horizon — too bright for faint aurora.
Sun 12–18° below horizon — sky is dark but not fully astronomical.
Sun more than 18° below the horizon — fully dark sky.
Astronomical darkness
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Moon illumination
Moderate moonlightA bright moon washes out faint aurora colours. New moon is ideal; full moon hides everything but the strongest displays.
Less than 25% illuminated — minimal interference.
25–75% illuminated — faint aurora may be washed out.
Over 75% illuminated — only strong displays will be visible.
Moderate moonlight
Moonlight is moderate tonight and may slightly reduce aurora visibility.
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Aurora oval probability (OVATION)
LowNOAA's OVATION model estimates the chance of aurora visible overhead within a 250 km radius of you.
Less than 5% probability — aurora unlikely to reach this location.
5–20% probability — aurora possible.
20–40% probability — aurora likely if skies are clear.
Over 40% probability — aurora very likely overhead.
Low
The aurora oval probability is low for this location tonight.
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Aurora zone
Good zoneHow favourable Schleswig-Holstein's latitude is for aurora viewing in general — independent of tonight's conditions.
Lower latitude — aurora is rare and requires a major storm.
Mid-latitude — aurora visible only during moderate-to-strong storms.
High-latitude region — aurora is visible on most active nights.
Directly under the auroral oval — aurora is a regular occurrence.
Good zone
Schleswig-Holstein is in a good aurora region, where aurora is possible during moderate geomagnetic activity.
Data sources
- · NOAA SWPC Kp forecast
- · NOAA OVATION aurora model
- · Open-Meteo cloud forecast
Aurora Forecast AI Tracker
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Best Months to See the Northern Lights in Schleswig-Holstein
The aurora season in Schleswig-Holstein usually runs from September to April.
Schleswig-Holstein sits at 55.42° magnetic latitude, which means aurora typically becomes visible when the Kp index reaches 5.5+. While sightings are rare, they are possible during strong geomagnetic storms. The best time to attempt a viewing is during the dark winter months between September and April.